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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpprimmRN1ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Record (consensus markets)52% (6510–6010, n=12520)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)47% (14126–15613, n=29739)60% (6546–4442, n=10988)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$3.6M$14.8M$54K
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #46PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #484
Sides with the consensus71% (183 of 258 open)no open consensus position61% (19 of 31 open)74% (37 of 50 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%98% of 2270 at avg 62¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)6% (won 91% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 97% of 468)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)34% (won 98% of 778)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)39% (won 100% of 879)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpprimmRN1ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $14K—Over $1.5KOver $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $572—Over $3.3KOver $10
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K—
W75 Petange: Lisa Zaar vs Lea Nilsson
opposite sides · consensus Lisa Zaar
Lea Nilsson $23—Lisa Zaar $3.5K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
Lorenzo Musetti $444—Luca Van Assche $2.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466—No $529—
Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $862——Over $71
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $14—Under $181—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $8——Under $35
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7—Over $28—
Bratislava 2: Jurij Rodionov vs Toby Samuel
opposite sides · consensus Toby Samuel
Toby Samuel $3—Jurij Rodionov $11—
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi Adkar
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
Anastasia Zakharova $22K—Anastasia Zakharova $17K—
Luanda: Madhurima Sawant vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
Noma Noha Akugue $20—Noma Noha Akugue $23K—
Taranto: Sumit Nagal vs Hugo Grenier
same side · consensus Sumit Nagal
Sumit Nagal $5.1K—Sumit Nagal $3.7K—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.6K—Over $2.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9—Over $1.5K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $499——No $8
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $127—Yes $176—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $174—Under $42—