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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188beachboy4joseph006770xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816CORGIIsainttroplay
| qwen300.fund | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 39% (2599–4019, n=6618) | 47% (13860–15343, n=29203) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $239K | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 96% (130 of 135 open) | 67% (4 of 6 open) | 90% (146 of 163 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Weather −3 pts, n=1468 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 43% of 2980 at avg 45¢, ROI −1% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 57% (won 2% of 1695) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 46% of 35) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 70% of 27) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 98% of 1223) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | qwen300.fund | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $7 | — | Yes $22K |
| Will Republicans win Kansas and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3 | — | Yes $10K |
| Will Republicans win Maine and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2 | — | Yes $5.0K |
| Will Republicans win Maine and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2 | — | Yes $5.0K |