← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| qwen300.fund | beachboy4 | pleaseplease123 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 39% (2599–4019, n=6618) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 49% (345–353, n=698) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $239K | $5.8M | $3.2M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 97% (151 of 156 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 90% (146 of 163 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | Weather −3 pts, n=1468 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | MLB −1 pts, n=694 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 43% of 2980 at avg 45¢, ROI −1% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 57% (won 2% of 1695) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 46% of 35) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 38% (won 43% of 266) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 70% of 27) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 61% (won 54% of 426) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 98% of 1223) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | qwen300.fund | beachboy4 | pleaseplease123 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $7 | — | — | Yes $22K |
| Will Republicans win Kansas and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3 | — | — | Yes $10K |
| Will Republicans win Maine and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2 | — | — | Yes $5.0K |
| Will Republicans win Maine and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2 | — | — | Yes $5.0K |