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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
rabbit007BreakTheBankbeachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)47% (247–278, n=525)45% (526–640, n=1166)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$44K$10.6M$5.8M$13.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (7 of 8 open)73% (72 of 99 open)100% (1 of 1 open)64% (21 of 33 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicEntertainment −2 pts, n=11—NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won44% of 589 at avg 40¢, ROI +3%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢48% (won 12% of 280)10% (won 85% of 53)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 49% of 83)36% (won 98% of 192)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 67% of 95)35% (won 99% of 187)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 95% of 131)20% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketrabbit007BreakTheBankbeachboy4RN1
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51K—Magic $228
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13K—Magic $161