← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| randomWalkingShrimp | CORGII | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 79% (906–247, n=1153) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $39K | $4.5M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (38 of 50 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (52 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 1028 at avg 72¢, ROI +8% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 19% of 146) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 50% of 72) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 79% of 124) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 98% of 686) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | randomWalkingShrimp | CORGII | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $19 | — | — | Yes $85K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $691 | — | — | Yes $36K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $497 | — | — | No $34K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $151 | — | — | Yes $30K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $84 | — | — | Yes $170K |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $299 | — | — | No $112K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $90 | — | — | Yes $81K |