← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| rdba | CORGII | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (63–48, n=111) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $435K | $4.5M | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (13 of 25 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 57% (86 of 151 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 170 at avg 74¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 7% of 29) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 64% of 11) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 82% of 11) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 70% (won 100% of 119) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | rdba | CORGII | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $382 | — | — | Yes $4.2K |