← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| roldy | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (1363–881, n=2244) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (535–643, n=1178) | 50% (945–947, n=1892) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.8M | $5.8M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #630 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 69% (88 of 127 open) | 67% (29 of 43 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 1719 at avg 52¢, ROI +30% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 33% of 61) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 85% of 553) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 62% (won 90% of 1058) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 3% (won 87% of 47) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | roldy | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $1.2K | — | Bills $59K | Ravens $370 |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $2.4K | Ravens $423 |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $551K | Bills $421 |
| Raiders vs. Jets same side · consensus Raiders | Raiders $1.3K | — | Raiders $198K | — |