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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sainttroplayBreakTheBankprimmomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)50% (14291–14380, n=28671)
Consensus PnL$4.4M$10.6M$3.4M$3.3M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #11PM monthly #1PM monthly #181PM monthly #27
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (73 of 98 open)50% (11 of 22 open)53% (36 of 68 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%91% of 10843 at avg 60¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)8% (won 59% of 873)
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)21% (won 86% of 2319)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)38% (won 94% of 4154)
Entries 70¢ and up0%20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)32% (won 99% of 3497)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketsainttroplayBreakTheBankprimmomnibus-076daa
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $465KBroncos $6.8KBroncos $687
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rams
——Rams $1.0KChargers $304
Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $7Under $257
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $272K—Yes $2.9K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $77K—Yes $1.8K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $73K—Yes $116
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $28K—Yes $2.9K
Spread: Dolphins (-3.5)
same side · consensus Patriots
——Patriots $1.3KPatriots $70