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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| sbimbg | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (3048–1271, n=4319) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $124K | $3.5M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #932 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (48 of 86 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (73 of 99 open) | 61% (19 of 31 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −4 pts, n=74 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 78% of 3987 at avg 72¢, ROI +4% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 18% of 452) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 50% of 294) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 68% of 682) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 64% (won 95% of 2559) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | sbimbg | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $6 | — | No $412K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $277 | — | No $590 | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $745 | — | Yes $258K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1 | — | Yes $11K | — |