← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| segment3 | 00gringo00 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (12851–13947, n=26798) | 45% (535–643, n=1178) |
| Consensus PnL | -$64K | $3.5M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #832 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (13 of 17 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (5 of 8 open) | 71% (83 of 117 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 15 at avg 82¢, ROI −7% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 0% of 1) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 50% of 2) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 80% (won 100% of 12) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | segment3 | 00gringo00 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.1K | — | — | No $36K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $731 | — | — | Yes $36K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.2K | — | — | Yes $27K |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.2K | — | — | No $10K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $940 | — | — | Yes $1.4K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.1K | — | — | Yes $169K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $2.0K | — | — | No $40K |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.7K | — | — | Yes $38K |