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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| shibagege | BreakTheBank | CORGII | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (157–167, n=324) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $105K | $10.6M | $4.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 62% (18 of 29 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 267 at avg 75¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 52% of 27) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 75% of 12) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 86% of 44) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 69% (won 93% of 184) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | shibagege | BreakTheBank | CORGII | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $51K | — | Ravens $696 |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $2.1K | — | Ravens $376 |