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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| simpleman | CORGII | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (487–520, n=1007) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $91K | $4.5M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #990 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (14 of 22 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 54% (58 of 107 open) | 55% (6 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Culture −12 pts, n=15 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 53% of 993 at avg 50¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 38% (won 17% of 373) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 41% of 150) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 59% of 97) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 94% of 373) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | simpleman | CORGII | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Falcons $2.7K | Buccaneers $3.0K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cowboys $1.4K | Cardinals $1.1K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $629 | Cardinals $1.0K |