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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| slimjoe | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (5214–4960, n=10174) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | -$73K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 25% (2 of 8 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (3 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 5175 at avg 56¢, ROI +31% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 78% of 204) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 96% of 1858) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 96% of 2093) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 99% of 1020) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | slimjoe | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $1.1M | — | Eagles $2.7K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $172 | Yes $274K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $219 | Yes $170K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $44K | — | Eagles $1.3K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $48 | No $202K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $37 | Yes $85K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Eagles $149 | — | — | Eagles $3 |