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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| smellyEllie | sainttroplay | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (569–722, n=1291) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $101K | $4.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #976 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 42% (23 of 55 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 90% (146 of 163 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=377 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 1252 at avg 35¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 56% (won 7% of 704) | 0% | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 39% of 123) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 69% of 127) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 94% of 298) | 0% | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | smellyEllie | sainttroplay | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.9K | — | — | No $202K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $365 | — | — | Yes $33K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $731 | — | — | No $28K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $9 | — | — | Yes $69K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $8 | — | — | Yes $28K |