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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
solwizzo-onXbeachboy4BreakTheBanksainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)67% (282–136, n=418)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (526–640, n=1166)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$7.9K$5.8M$10.6M$4.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedwas PM monthly #24PM monthly #1was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus74% (20 of 27 open)100% (1 of 1 open)73% (72 of 98 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +7 pts n=156, ROI +7%
  • NBA +13 pts n=34, ROI 0%
  • Finance +8 pts n=85, ROI +4%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicMLB −4 pts, n=28NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won57% of 460 at avg 52¢, ROI +1%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢36% (won 7% of 166)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 85% of 53)0%
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 49% of 43)29% (won 56% of 62)36% (won 98% of 192)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 77% of 47)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 187)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 95% of 204)14% (won 86% of 29)20% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketsolwizzo-onXbeachboy4BreakTheBanksainttroplay
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $467—Yes $3.0K—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $2.3K—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $814—Yes $967—
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $25—Yes $164—