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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| thestingsnake | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (563–183, n=746) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $247K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #185 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (7 of 11 open) | 72% (73 of 101 open) | 54% (64 of 118 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1098 at avg 78¢, ROI +10% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 94% of 18) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 100% of 78) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 100% of 192) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 74% (won 100% of 810) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | thestingsnake | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $12K | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Andre Souza vs Wilson Leite opposite sides · consensus Wilson Leite | Andre Souza $26 | — | Wilson Leite $12K | — |
| Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl opposite sides · consensus Dylan Dietrich | Dylan Dietrich $514 | — | Liam Draxl $5.2K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K | — |
| Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $1.6K | — | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1 | — |
| Bratislava 2: Jonas Forejtek vs Ryan Seggerman opposite sides · consensus Ryan Seggerman | Jonas Forejtek $1.1K | — | Ryan Seggerman $294 | — |
| Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro opposite sides · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $728 | — | Felipe de Dios $1 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 | — |
| Charlottesville: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris same side · consensus Ozan Baris | Ozan Baris $44 | — | Ozan Baris $4.0K | — |
| Villa Maria: Valentin Garay vs Nicolas Bruna same side · consensus Nicolas Bruna | Nicolas Bruna $994 | — | Nicolas Bruna $17 | — |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux same side · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Shunsuke Mitsui $368 | — | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Leonardo Storck Franca vs Jose Pereira same side · consensus Leonardo Storck Franca | Jose Pereira $40 | — | Jose Pereira $129 | — |