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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| thestingsnake | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 74% (594–207, n=801) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13858–15341, n=29199) |
| Consensus PnL | $247K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #185 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (5 of 7 open) | no open consensus position | 90% (146 of 163 open) | 50% (4 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1108 at avg 78¢, ROI +10% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 89% of 19) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 100% of 78) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 100% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 74% (won 100% of 819) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | thestingsnake | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs opposite sides · consensus Zizou Bergs | Zizou Bergs $325 | — | — | Ignacio Buse $6.5K |
| Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat same side · consensus Jan Kumstat | Jan Kumstat $809 | — | — | Jan Kumstat $15K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikata same side · consensus Rinky Hijikata | Rinky Hijikata $882 | — | — | Rinky Hijikata $12K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz same side · consensus Hubert Hurkacz | Lorenzo Musetti $977 | — | — | Lorenzo Musetti $4.5K |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana same side · consensus Mary Stoiana | Venus Williams $116 | — | — | Venus Williams $1.2K |
| Bratislava 2: Michal Krajci vs Niels Visker same side · consensus Michal Krajci | Michal Krajci $83 | — | — | Michal Krajci $553 |