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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
topdogbigboi00gringo00RN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)44% (3676–4612, n=8288)75% (6–2, n=8)48% (12930–14106, n=27036)62% (393–246, n=639)
Consensus PnL$435$3.5M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #967was PM monthly #19PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus70% (19 of 27 open)no open consensus position45% (5 of 11 open)33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 1153 at avg 62¢, ROI +44%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 97% of 112)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 100% of 257)0%22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 100% of 313)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 100% of 471)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Markettopdogbigboi00gringo00RN1CORGII
Spread: Commanders (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Commanders $5—Eagles $1.2K—
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $91—Under $778—
Spread: Commanders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Eagles $57—Commanders $23—
Eagles vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $521—Commanders $31K—
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
same side · consensus TheMongolz
TheMongolz $35——TheMongolz $15K
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
same side · consensus Heroic
B8 $65——B8 $9.7K
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Commanders $230—Commanders $2.1K—
Spread: Commanders (-14.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $103—Eagles $4—