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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
topdogbigboibeachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (3666–4562, n=8228)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12896–14023, n=26919)
Consensus PnL$435$5.8M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #967was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus66% (25 of 38 open)100% (2 of 2 open)59% (16 of 27 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won100% of 1153 at avg 62¢, ROI +44%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 97% of 112)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 100% of 257)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 100% of 313)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 100% of 471)14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Markettopdogbigboibeachboy4RN1
Spread: Commanders (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Commanders $54—Eagles $5.8K
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $364—No $2.2K
CF Cruz Azul vs. Club León FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $347—Under $688
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $82—Under $476
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Eagles $241—Commanders $125
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Commanders $135—Eagles $27
CF Cruz Azul vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $428—Over $1.4K
Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Club León FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $145—No $912
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $15—Over $678
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $82—Commanders $433
Spread: Commanders (-14.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $89—Eagles $4
CF Cruz Azul vs. Club León FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $12—Over $44
CF Cruz Azul vs. Club León FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $3—Over $35