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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| tradecraft | CORGII | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (2371–2607, n=4978) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $962K | $4.5M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #156 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (10 of 18 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 71% (15 of 21 open) | 74% (72 of 97 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 58% of 2599 at avg 51¢, ROI +5% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 11% of 791) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 47% of 453) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 78% of 485) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 33% (won 96% of 870) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | tradecraft | CORGII | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $23 | — | — | Chiefs $465K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $8 | — | — | Chiefs $152K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $81 | — | No $2.6K | — |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Broncos | Broncos $48 | — | — | Chiefs $1.2K |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux opposite sides · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $2 | — | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Andre Souza vs Wilson Leite same side · consensus Wilson Leite | Wilson Leite $9 | — | Wilson Leite $12K | — |