← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| troim | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (290–531, n=821) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $89K | $3.5M | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #895 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 43% (32 of 74 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (72 of 98 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 65% of 571 at avg 41¢, ROI +9% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 41% (won 33% of 234) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 77% of 97) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 90% of 135) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 96% of 105) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | troim | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.3K | — | No $411K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.1K | — | No $252K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $5.6K | — | Yes $37K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.2K | — | Yes $38K | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.0K | — | No $24K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.8K | — | No $10K | — |