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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
twinnaBreakTheBanksainttroplayprimm
Record (consensus markets)50% (96–96, n=192)45% (526–640, n=1166)71% (10–4, n=14)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$72K$10.6M$4.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #406PM monthly #1was PM monthly #11PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus74% (17 of 23 open)74% (72 of 97 open)no open consensus position55% (12 of 22 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNHL −7 pts, n=103———
Settled positions, side won51% of 207 at avg 47¢, ROI +8%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 15% of 39)10% (won 85% of 53)0%5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 48% of 79)36% (won 98% of 192)50% (won 100% of 5)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 61% of 64)35% (won 99% of 187)50% (won 100% of 5)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up12% (won 88% of 25)20% (won 100% of 107)0%5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettwinnaBreakTheBanksainttroplayprimm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $465K—Broncos $6.8K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $18KNo $35K——
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $4.8KNo $590——
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $291No $747——