← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| wan123 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 36% (101–182, n=283) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $990K | $3.5M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #244 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (40 of 63 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (53 of 62 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 162 at avg 57¢, ROI +42% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 100% of 18) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 33% (won 100% of 53) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 100% of 39) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 100% of 52) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | wan123 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $23K | — | No $250K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $222K | — | Yes $34K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $524 | — | Yes $85K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $12K | — | Yes $270K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $872 | — | Yes $170K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $412 | — | Yes $32K | — |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $24K | — | — | Yes $68 |