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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
wan123BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)35% (97–179, n=276)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$969K$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #244 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus70% (48 of 69 open)78% (42 of 54 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +53 pts n=27, ROI +54%
  • Geopolitics +43 pts n=56, ROI +48%
  • NBA +59 pts n=11, ROI +58%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won100% of 158 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 100% of 17)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 100% of 51)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 100% of 38)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 100% of 52)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketwan123BreakTheBank
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $22KNo $253K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $178KYes $38K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $575Yes $71K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12KYes $274K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $884Yes $172K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $22KNo $40K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $632Yes $52K
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $295No $577