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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
| wish- | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 82% (734–164, n=898) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) | 48% (12899–14013, n=26912) |
| Consensus PnL | $63K | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 93% (37 of 40 open) | 74% (75 of 101 open) | 67% (6 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Economy −4 pts, n=51 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 1338 at avg 83¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 7% of 107) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 33% of 45) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 63% of 83) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 82% (won 96% of 1103) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | wish- | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.4K | No $202K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $8.6K | Yes $77K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.4K | No $35K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.2K | Yes $1.4K | — |