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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| xwingboy | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (308–181, n=489) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | -$58K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #904 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 43% (6 of 14 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (5 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 289 at avg 73¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 55% of 11) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 71% of 21) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 98% of 45) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 73% (won 99% of 212) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | xwingboy | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Eagles (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Commanders $2.1K | — | Eagles $858 |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Commanders $2.3K | — | Eagles $3 |
| Spread: Commanders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Commanders $23 | — | Eagles $412 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $1.1K | — | Under $1.5K |