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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
yen4uCORGIIBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)90% (841–94, n=935)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$78K$4.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #815PM monthly #68PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus82% (41 of 50 open)0% (0 of 4 open)71% (73 of 103 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won95% of 753 at avg 91¢, ROI +3%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 27% of 26)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 56% of 16)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 82% of 33)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up90% (won 100% of 678)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketyen4uCORGIIBreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $9—No $184K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $57K—Yes $77K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $288—No $40K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5.0K—Yes $4.7K