← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| yen4u | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 90% (875–95, n=970) | 47% (13858–15341, n=29199) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 61% (495–320, n=815) |
| Consensus PnL | $78K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #815 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (42 of 54 open) | 50% (4 of 8 open) | 90% (146 of 163 open) | 50% (4 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 757 at avg 91¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 27% of 26) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 15% (won 29% of 125) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 56% of 16) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 34% (won 58% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 82% of 33) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 43% (won 69% of 354) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 90% (won 100% of 682) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 7% (won 80% of 60) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | yen4u | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $10 | — | No $202K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $57K | — | Yes $85K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz opposite sides · consensus Hubert Hurkacz | — | Lorenzo Musetti $4.5K | — | Hubert Hurkacz $2.1K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.8K | — | Yes $14K | — |