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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
zb800gringo00RN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)53% (529–465, n=994)75% (6–2, n=8)48% (12899–14013, n=26912)45% (537–647, n=1184)
Consensus PnL$445K$3.5M$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #72was PM monthly #19PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus70% (7 of 10 open)no open consensus position67% (6 of 9 open)73% (78 of 107 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicCrypto −14 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won59% of 925 at avg 54¢, ROI +8%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 11% of 251)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 46% of 170)0%22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 73% of 180)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 96% of 324)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketzb800gringo00RN1BreakTheBank
Eagles vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Eagles $20K——Commanders $1.2M
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.8K——No $202K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $5.6K——No $35K
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $6.0K——No $11K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16K——Yes $171K