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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| zxc368 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 99% (13369–172, n=13541) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $232K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #739 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (10 of 10 open) | 72% (73 of 102 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 52% (62 of 119 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Crypto ±0 pts, n=276 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 10006 at avg 99¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 16% of 86) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% (won 67% of 18) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% (won 80% of 10) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 99% (won 100% of 9892) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | zxc368 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | — | Cowboys $12K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $3.0K | — | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.1K | — | — | No $18 |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $219 | — | — | Yes $54 |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $11 | — | — | Under $6 |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $51K | — | Bills $18K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $51K | — | Magic $228 |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $13K | — | Magic $161 |
| Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $141 | — | — | Under $1.8K |
| SSC Napoli leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | No $15 | — | — | No $4 |