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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| zxdfbdfgngcxv | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 85% (1256–228, n=1484) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $72K | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #851 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (47 of 53 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Elections −5 pts, n=70 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 1826 at avg 79¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 9% of 243) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 49% of 87) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 56% of 108) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 97% of 1388) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | zxdfbdfgngcxv | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $5.7K | No $184K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.8K | Yes $77K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $7.1K | No $35K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.1K | Yes $37K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $410 | No $90K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $410 | Yes $71K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $730 | No $747 | — |