Resolution Proposed
A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.

Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 2.5
8 of 13 top Polymarket traders hold Under (62%) · Under at 48¢ · $12K held · awaiting resolution
⏳
Pending
13
Under 62%
4 arb excluded
$12.3K
-$568.78
Smart Money Signal
8 of 13 top traders (62%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FE ferrariChampions2026CTR | Underavg 56¢ | $4.9K | $4.2K | -$697.75 | 42% 8168-11360 (19528) |
0X 0xe02066958cfd02ee1fc8a4cdb51b56a1ca50f39bCTR | Underavg 49¢ | $2.0K | $2.0K | -$40.82 | 53% 232-209 (441) |
VE VenusianARB<$100 | Overavg 48.1¢ | $1.3K | $1.4K | +$96 | 49% 1843-1935 (3778) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 48.1¢ | $882.97 | $953.98 | +$71.01 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 45¢ | $378.35 | $403.34 | +$24.99 | |
LU LuckyLoo | Overavg 45¢ | $1.1K | $1.3K | +$171.83 | 49% 14983-15895 (30878) |
GC GC-PARB<$100 | Underavg 50.1¢ | $2.2K | $1.1K | +$40.88 | 64% 10179-5769 (15948) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 50.1¢ | $839.18 | $862.63 | +$23.38 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 45¢ | $225 | $242.5 | +$17.5 | |
NM NM-PARB<$100 | Underavg 50.1¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | -$0.25 | 64% 10182-5720 (15902) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 50.1¢ | $839.25 | $804 | -$35.25 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 45¢ | $225 | $260 | +$35 | |
LI LightParadoxCTR | Underavg 42.2¢ | $385.12 | $435.14 | +$50.02 | 49% 1800-1900 (3700) |
FL Flaznorp | Overavg 54¢ | $373.41 | $359.58 | -$27.66 | 51% 27227-25781 (53008) |
TH TheComboConnoisseurCTR | Underavg 50¢ | $250 | $240 | -$72.5 | 53% 1125-987 (2112) |
MA MadridTimeCTR | Underavg 36.9¢ | $95.4 | $123.93 | +$28.53 | 48% 1775-1911 (3686) |
SE sentrioARB<$100 | Underavg 55¢ | $100.4 | $93.79 | -$6.61 | 50% 26409-26025 (52434) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 55¢ | $67.7 | $59.08 | -$8.62 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 49¢ | $32.71 | $34.71 | +$2 | |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Underavg 33.9¢ | $40.53 | $57.35 | +$16.82 | 51% 38228-37447 (75675) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Underavg 49¢ | $96.76 | $50.8 | +$3.39 | 50% 1850-1863 (3713) |
WA WagerWizard<$100 | Overavg 46.9¢ | $13.11 | $14.54 | +$1.43 | 84% 15071-2930 (18001) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100 | Overavg 65.2¢ | $13.03 | $10.4 | -$2.63 | 59% 33226-23391 (56617) |
![]() rayvanmechelen<$100 | Overavg 54¢ | $10 | $9.63 | -$0.74 | 53% 2699-2381 (5080) |
![]() RN1CTR<$100 | Underavg 39.8¢ | $6.21 | $7.49 | +$1.28 | 53% 62321-54560 (116881) |
Invested
$4,872.05
Value
$4.2K
PnL
-$697.75
Record
42%
8168-11360 (19528)
Invested
$2,000
Value
$2.0K
PnL
-$40.82
Record
53%
232-209 (441)
Invested
$1,261.32
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$96
Record
49%
1843-1935 (3778)
Both legs:
Invested
$1,104.6
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$171.83
Record
49%
14983-15895 (30878)
Invested
$2,175
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$40.88
Record
64%
10179-5769 (15948)
Both legs:
Invested
$1,064.25
Value
$1.1K
PnL
-$0.25
Record
64%
10182-5720 (15902)
Both legs:
Invested
$385.12
Value
$435.14
PnL
+$50.02
Record
49%
1800-1900 (3700)
Invested
$373.41
Value
$359.58
PnL
-$27.66
Record
51%
27227-25781 (53008)
Invested
$250
Value
$240
PnL
-$72.5
Record
53%
1125-987 (2112)
Invested
$95.4
Value
$123.93
PnL
+$28.53
Record
48%
1775-1911 (3686)
Invested
$100.4
Value
$93.79
PnL
-$6.61
Record
50%
26409-26025 (52434)
Both legs:
Invested
$40.53
Value
$57.35
PnL
+$16.82
Record
51%
38228-37447 (75675)
Invested
$96.76
Value
$50.8
PnL
+$3.39
Record
50%
1850-1863 (3713)
Invested
$13.11
Value
$14.54
PnL
+$1.43
Record
84%
15071-2930 (18001)
Invested
$13.03
Value
$10.4
PnL
-$2.63
Record
59%
33226-23391 (56617)
rayvanmechelen<$100Invested
$10
Value
$9.63
PnL
-$0.74
Record
53%
2699-2381 (5080)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$6.21
Value
$7.49
PnL
+$1.28
Record
53%
62321-54560 (116881)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ferrariChampions2026
CTRUnder — $4.2K
0xe02066958cfd02ee1fc8a4cdb51b56a1ca50f39b
CTRUnder — $2.0K
Venusian
ARBArbitrage — excluded
LuckyLoo
Over — $1.3K
GC-P
ARBArbitrage — excluded
NM-P
ARBArbitrage — excluded
LightParadox
CTRUnder — $435.14
Flaznorp
Over — $359.58
TheComboConnoisseur
CTRUnder — $240
MadridTime
CTRUnder — $123.93