Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane

8 of 15 top Polymarket traders hold Tulsa Golden Hurricane (53%) · Tulsa Golden Hurricane at 99¢ · $2K held · ended Nov 12

Oral Roberts Golden Eagles<1¢Tulsa Golden Hurricane>99¢Ended Thu, Nov 12, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚠️

Avoid

Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Consensus Traders

Tulsa Golden Hurricane 53%

Total Value

$1.8K

Combined PnL

-$39.28

Smart Money Entry

89.7¢ → 99.1¢

+10% since entry · 8 traders

Research grade

AvoidTulsa Golden Hurricane at 99%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Tulsa Golden Hurricane

8 of 15 top traders (53%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Oral Roberts Golden Eagles1%

Tulsa Golden Hurricane99%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Tulsa Golden Hurricane8 traders

Total Value$1.7K

Total Shares1,806

Combined PnL+$75.66

Oral Roberts Golden Eagles7 traders

Total Value$54.33

Total Shares1,747

Combined PnL-$114.94

Tulsa Golden Hurricane — 53%Oral Roberts Golden Eagles — 47%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

8 traders

Top 2 hold 77%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

57% of non-arb traders are on Tulsa Golden Hurricane. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 77% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

The hand-picked list (1 on Oral Roberts Golden Eagles) and the top 1000 (14 on Tulsa Golden Hurricane) disagree here.

ctrTulsa Golden Hurricane 50% · 6

Aligned

Hand-pickedOral Roberts Golden Eagles 100% · 1

Diverging

Top 1000Tulsa Golden Hurricane 57% · 14

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
nigiri99	Tulsa Golden Hurricaneavg 95¢	$646.95	$633.33	-$13.62	52% 128-120 (248)
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872	Tulsa Golden Hurricaneavg 82¢	$410	$465	+$55	55% 750-604 (1354)
38 38791873984189	Tulsa Golden Hurricaneavg 97.7¢	$226.79	$227.18	+$0.39	48% 1454-1600 (3054)
alpheclabs2	Tulsa Golden Hurricaneavg 82¢	$117.36	$133.1	+$15.74	43% 126-165 (291)
PA Pan9X	Tulsa Golden Hurricaneavg 95.8¢	$109.03	$93.97	+$2.08	49% 698-741 (1439)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100	Tulsa Golden Hurricaneavg 82¢	$54.57	$61.89	+$7.32	53% 1860-1677 (3537)
TH thirdt1me<$100	Tulsa Golden Hurricaneavg 83¢	$41.49	$46.49	+$5	43% 127-168 (295)
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100	Oral Roberts Golden Eaglesavg 5¢	$47.86	$41.07	-$6.79	46% 311-361 (672)
BO BoomLaLa<$100	Tulsa Golden Hurricaneavg 84¢	$34.97	$38.71	+$3.75	14% 29-180 (209)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100	Oral Roberts Golden Eaglesavg 1¢	$4.62	$4.45	-$0.17	29% 180-434 (614)
AV averagejoetradersCTR<$100	Oral Roberts Golden Eaglesavg 18¢	$54	$2.85	-$51.15	56% 722-566 (1288)
0X 0x478fhs7832bfs8f7dfdsfeshCTR<$100	Oral Roberts Golden Eaglesavg 18¢	$51.16	$2.7	-$48.46	6% 28-442 (470)
dips.CTR<$100	Oral Roberts Golden Eaglesavg 3.9¢	$1.33	$2.38	+$1.05	42% 230-316 (546)
PA pauleta23CTR<$100	Oral Roberts Golden Eaglesavg 18¢	$10	$0.53	-$9.47	32% 237-498 (735)
RN1CTR<$100	Oral Roberts Golden Eaglesavg 6¢	$0.3	$0.35	+$0.05	57% 4077-3095 (7172)

nigiri99

Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Invested

$646.95

Value

$633.33

PnL

-$13.62

Record

52%

128-120 (248)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Invested

$410

Value

$465

PnL

+$55

Record

55%

750-604 (1354)

38791873984189

Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Invested

$226.79

Value

$227.18

PnL

+$0.39

Record

48%

1454-1600 (3054)

alpheclabs2

Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Invested

$117.36

Value

$133.1

PnL

+$15.74

Record

43%

126-165 (291)

Pan9X

Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Invested

$109.03

Value

$93.97

PnL

+$2.08

Record

49%

698-741 (1439)

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100

Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Invested

$54.57

Value

$61.89

PnL

+$7.32

Record

53%

1860-1677 (3537)

thirdt1me<$100

Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Invested

$41.49

Value

$46.49

PnL

+$5

Record

43%

127-168 (295)

SnakeBallCTR<$100

Oral Roberts Golden Eagles

Invested

$47.86

Value

$41.07

PnL

-$6.79

Record

46%

311-361 (672)

BoomLaLa<$100

Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Invested

$34.97

Value

$38.71

PnL

+$3.75

Record

14%

29-180 (209)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100

Oral Roberts Golden Eagles

Invested

$4.62

Value

$4.45

PnL

-$0.17

Record

29%

180-434 (614)

averagejoetradersCTR<$100

Oral Roberts Golden Eagles

Invested

$54

Value

$2.85

PnL

-$51.15

Record

56%

722-566 (1288)

0x478fhs7832bfs8f7dfdsfeshCTR<$100

Oral Roberts Golden Eagles

Invested

$51.16

Value

$2.7

PnL

-$48.46

Record

28-442 (470)

dips.CTR<$100

Oral Roberts Golden Eagles

Invested

$1.33

Value

$2.38

PnL

+$1.05

Record

42%

230-316 (546)

pauleta23CTR<$100

Oral Roberts Golden Eagles

Invested

$10

Value

$0.53

PnL

-$9.47

Record

32%

237-498 (735)

RN1CTR<$100

Oral Roberts Golden Eagles

Invested

$0.3

Value

$0.35

PnL

+$0.05

Record

57%

4077-3095 (7172)

Research grade

AvoidTulsa Golden Hurricane at 99%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

Tulsa Golden Hurricane

8 of 15 top traders (53%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

8 traders

Top 2 hold 77%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

57% of non-arb traders are on Tulsa Golden Hurricane. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 77% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

The hand-picked list (1 on Oral Roberts Golden Eagles) and the top 1000 (14 on Tulsa Golden Hurricane) disagree here.

ctrTulsa Golden Hurricane 50% · 6

Aligned

Hand-pickedOral Roberts Golden Eagles 100% · 1

Diverging

Top 1000Tulsa Golden Hurricane 57% · 14

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Tulsa Golden Hurricane wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

99.1¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.