Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was megoshort β and it was correct. Winning outcome: megoshort

Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #13 Play-In
Resolved megoshort. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held megoshort. The smart money was right.
π
Won
14
megoshort 38%
2 arb excluded
$12.1K
$2.0K
Smart Money Signal
6 of 14 top traders (43%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OM omnibus-076daa | megoshortavg 55.4Β’ | $2.6K | $4.6K | +$2.0K | 50% 20222-20549 (40771) |
![]() poshposhCTR | Donstu Esportsavg 49.2Β’ | $1.4K | β | $-1.4K | 57% 11890-8983 (20873) |
![]() dmagamez | megoshortavg 47.8Β’ | $1.4K | $2.9K | +$1.5K | 66% 97-50 (147) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR | Donstu Esportsavg 42.1Β’ | $768.85 | β | -$768.85 | 47% 10579-11844 (22423) |
LE legitgame | megoshortavg 53Β’ | $1.1K | $2.1K | +$996.86 | 56% 252-200 (452) |
![]() 0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fARB<$100 | megoshortavg 56.4Β’ | $635.26 | $610.78 | -$24.47 | 54% 2582-2209 (4791) |
| β Donstu Esports leg | Donstu Esportsavg 43.2Β’ | $290.6 | β | -$290.6 | |
| β megoshort leg | megoshortavg 56.4Β’ | $344.66 | $610.78 | +$266.12 | |
AM ameisgoat11ARB<$100 | megoshortavg 53Β’ | $556.01 | $690.64 | +$134.63 | 52% 8478-7730 (16208) |
| β megoshort leg | megoshortavg 53Β’ | $365.77 | $690.64 | +$324.87 | |
| β Donstu Esports leg | Donstu Esportsavg 40.9Β’ | $190.23 | β | -$190.23 | |
![]() JohnLKellyJr | megoshortavg 54.4Β’ | $645.6 | $1.2K | +$542 | 53% 1299-1174 (2473) |
0X 0x4f2CTR | Donstu Esportsavg 45Β’ | $339.85 | β | -$339.85 | 52% 9283-8667 (17950) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR | Donstu Esportsavg 47.5Β’ | $140.09 | β | -$140.09 | 59% 31389-22051 (53440) |
IW iWasEnoughCTR<$100 | Donstu Esportsavg 50.1Β’ | $48.35 | β | -$48.35 | 51% 11651-11066 (22717) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Donstu Esportsavg 52Β’ | $22.32 | β | -$22.32 | 48% 14412-15920 (30332) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Donstu Esportsavg 40.8Β’ | $9.81 | β | -$9.81 | 45% 13709-16632 (30341) |
![]() HRTradingCTR<$100 | Donstu Esportsavg 53.4Β’ | $4.82 | β | -$4.82 | 51% 7362-7108 (14470) |
0X 0x68234mjhgfvj8612543ytjsa6187235v81283<$100 | megoshortavg 65.2Β’ | $6.35 | $9.75 | +$3.4 | 51% 333-322 (655) |
KA Kaczka | megoshortavg 66.4Β’ | $857.94 | $0.01 | -$247.14 | 51% 446-423 (869) |
Invested
$2,636.9
Value
$4.6K
PnL
+$2.0K
Record
50%
20222-20549 (40771)
poshposhCTRInvested
$1,415.41
Value
β
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
57%
11890-8983 (20873)
dmagamezInvested
$1,384.74
Value
$2.9K
PnL
+$1.5K
Record
66%
97-50 (147)
Invested
$768.85
Value
β
PnL
-$768.85
Record
47%
10579-11844 (22423)
Invested
$1,122.14
Value
$2.1K
PnL
+$996.86
Record
56%
252-200 (452)
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fARB<$100Invested
$635.26
Value
$610.78
PnL
-$24.47
Record
54%
2582-2209 (4791)
Both legs:
Invested
$556.01
Value
$690.64
PnL
+$134.63
Record
52%
8478-7730 (16208)
Both legs:
JohnLKellyJrInvested
$645.6
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$542
Record
53%
1299-1174 (2473)
Invested
$339.85
Value
β
PnL
-$339.85
Record
52%
9283-8667 (17950)
Invested
$140.09
Value
β
PnL
-$140.09
Record
59%
31389-22051 (53440)
Invested
$48.35
Value
β
PnL
-$48.35
Record
51%
11651-11066 (22717)
Invested
$22.32
Value
β
PnL
-$22.32
Record
48%
14412-15920 (30332)
Invested
$9.81
Value
β
PnL
-$9.81
Record
45%
13709-16632 (30341)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$4.82
Value
β
PnL
-$4.82
Record
51%
7362-7108 (14470)
Invested
$6.35
Value
$9.75
PnL
+$3.4
Record
51%
333-322 (655)
Invested
$857.94
Value
$0.01
PnL
-$247.14
Record
51%
446-423 (869)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
omnibus-076daa
megoshort β $4.6K

poshposh
CTRDonstu Esports β $0

dmagamez
megoshort β $2.9K
topdogbigboi
CTRDonstu Esports β $0
legitgame
megoshort β $2.1K

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f
ARBArbitrage β excluded
ameisgoat11
ARBArbitrage β excluded

JohnLKellyJr
megoshort β $1.2K
0x4f2
CTRDonstu Esports β $0
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
CTRDonstu Esports β $0