Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Inner Circle — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Inner Circle
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs angry birds (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A
Resolved Inner Circle. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Inner Circle. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Inner Circle 67%
2 arb excluded
$4.0K
$60.24
Smart Money Signal
8 of 12 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AM ameisgoat11ARB<$100 | Inner Circleavg 65.5¢ | $1.2K | $1.4K | +$267.22 | 52% 8478-7730 (16208) |
| └ Inner Circle leg | Inner Circleavg 65.5¢ | $922.91 | $1.4K | +$469.56 | |
| └ angry birds leg | angry birdsavg 22.4¢ | $202.34 | — | -$202.34 | |
1R 1rerrr | Inner Circleavg 49.7¢ | $1.3K | $1.9K | +$914.2 | 50% 1313-1291 (2604) |
SI Sisyphus-CTR | angry birdsavg 54.6¢ | $572.89 | — | -$572.89 | 55% 735-606 (1341) |
0X 0xf483653F527A9EE5730EAF28709C2856Ab5Fa89c-1765271749237CTR | angry birdsavg 40.1¢ | $382.77 | — | -$382.77 | 51% 378-361 (739) |
MR MrConsistencyCTR<$100 | angry birdsavg 10¢ | $68.75 | — | -$68.75 | 39% 579-897 (1476) |
CC ccllar | Inner Circleavg 44.9¢ | $187.6 | $318.02 | +$137.17 | 46% 494-569 (1063) |
 poshposhARB<$100 | angry birdsavg 51.9¢ | $116.01 | $113.2 | -$2.82 | 57% 11890-8983 (20873) |
| └ Inner Circle leg | Inner Circleavg 48.7¢ | $55.17 | $113.2 | +$58.02 | |
| └ angry birds leg | angry birdsavg 51.9¢ | $60.84 | — | -$60.84 | |
SE seeeeeeb | Inner Circleavg 79.8¢ | $159.66 | $200 | +$40.34 | 53% 904-801 (1705) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | angry birdsavg 17.5¢ | $30.77 | — | -$30.77 | 47% 10579-11844 (22423) |
RA RandomVibecoder<$100 | Inner Circleavg 41¢ | $40.14 | $60.83 | +$20.69 | 49% 822-869 (1691) |
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100 | Inner Circleavg 49.4¢ | $19.6 | $35 | +$15.4 | 65% 5090-2761 (7851) |
SU suntori<$100 | Inner Circleavg 62.2¢ | $46.73 | $15.61 | -$20.93 | 45% 13709-16632 (30341) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100 | Inner Circleavg 46.2¢ | $4.87 | $10.54 | +$5.67 | 59% 31389-22051 (53440) |
IW iWasEnough<$100 | Inner Circleavg 45.2¢ | $2.37 | $5.25 | +$2.88 | 51% 11651-11066 (22717) |
Invested
$1,202.74
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$267.22
Record
52%
8478-7730 (16208)
Both legs:
Invested
$1,334.68
Value
$1.9K
PnL
+$914.2
Record
50%
1313-1291 (2604)
Invested
$572.89
Value
—
PnL
-$572.89
Record
55%
735-606 (1341)
Invested
$382.77
Value
—
PnL
-$382.77
Record
51%
378-361 (739)
Invested
$68.75
Value
—
PnL
-$68.75
Record
39%
579-897 (1476)
Invested
$187.6
Value
$318.02
PnL
+$137.17
Record
46%
494-569 (1063)
poshposhARB<$100Invested
$116.01
Value
$113.2
PnL
-$2.82
Record
57%
11890-8983 (20873)
Both legs:
Invested
$159.66
Value
$200
PnL
+$40.34
Record
53%
904-801 (1705)
Invested
$30.77
Value
—
PnL
-$30.77
Record
47%
10579-11844 (22423)
Invested
$40.14
Value
$60.83
PnL
+$20.69
Record
49%
822-869 (1691)
Invested
$19.6
Value
$35
PnL
+$15.4
Record
65%
5090-2761 (7851)
Invested
$46.73
Value
$15.61
PnL
-$20.93
Record
45%
13709-16632 (30341)
Invested
$4.87
Value
$10.54
PnL
+$5.67
Record
59%
31389-22051 (53440)
Invested
$2.37
Value
$5.25
PnL
+$2.88
Record
51%
11651-11066 (22717)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ameisgoat11
ARBArbitrage — excluded
1rerrr
Inner Circle — $1.9K
Sisyphus-
CTRangry birds — $0
0xf483653F527A9EE5730EAF28709C2856Ab5Fa89c-1765271749237
CTRangry birds — $0
MrConsistency
CTRangry birds — $0
ccllar
Inner Circle — $318.02
poshposh
ARBArbitrage — excluded
seeeeeeb
Inner Circle — $200
topdogbigboi
CTRangry birds — $0
RandomVibecoder
Inner Circle — $60.83