
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Ka4kanarskie cyxariki - Game 2 Winner
7 of 10 top Polymarket traders hold Power Rangers (70%) · Power Rangers at 56¢ · $42K held · ends Nov 9
⚖️
Neutral
Power Rangers
10
Power Rangers 70%
4 arb excluded
$41.8K
$1.3K
49.3¢ → 56.5¢
+15% since entry · 7 traders
Research grade
NeutralPower Rangers at 56%
No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).
- Side priced 50–60¢Full year, out of sample: 0.50–0.70 lost −2.9 % a trade (n 23,546, 95 % CI −3.9 to −1.9).
The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.
Smart Money Signal
7 of 10 top traders (70%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SI Sisyphus- | Power Rangersavg 53.7¢ | $7.6K | $8.1K | +$465.62 | 55% 854-709 (1563) |
0X 0xffAaEFb5f6762Cc70cb575Da8722E8C895E38cEe-1767374935341CTR | Ka4kanarskie cyxarikiavg 54.5¢ | $5.5K | $5.8K | +$297.52 | 50% 587-598 (1185) |
JE jelly2026CTR | Ka4kanarskie cyxarikiavg 50.5¢ | $6.7K | $5.6K | -$228.66 | — |
0X 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592 | Power Rangersavg 48.7¢ | $4.1K | $4.8K | +$656.05 | 59% 1043-732 (1775) |
UN UNIVERSEMVPCTR | Ka4kanarskie cyxarikiavg 51.9¢ | $5.1K | $4.8K | -$330.91 | 64% 137-77 (214) |
RA RandomVibecoder | Power Rangersavg 45.6¢ | $3.9K | $4.6K | +$713.65 | 48% 896-960 (1856) |
![]() Skritopoolniy | Power Rangersavg 44.5¢ | $4.7K | $4.5K | -$208.9 | 46% 683-807 (1490) |
BI BillBenter2026ARB<$100 | Ka4kanarskie cyxarikiavg 49.8¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | -$64.41 | 57% 20335-15129 (35464) |
| └ Ka4kanarskie cyxariki leg | Ka4kanarskie cyxarikiavg 49.8¢ | $688.45 | $635.72 | -$52.73 | |
| └ Power Rangers leg | Power Rangersavg 55¢ | $645.1 | $633.42 | -$11.68 | |
0X 0xbFAB152aFA43741b41BE0f355F862be2630cf067-1779364275266 | Power Rangersavg 57.5¢ | $1.0K | $956.92 | -$43.08 | 67% 644-313 (957) |
TO TommyLeePeecaARB<$100 | Power Rangersavg 50¢ | $521.53 | $534.45 | +$12.92 | 54% 1348-1159 (2507) |
| └ Power Rangers leg | Power Rangersavg 50¢ | $279.65 | $316.21 | +$36.55 | |
| └ Ka4kanarskie cyxariki leg | Ka4kanarskie cyxarikiavg 48.2¢ | $241.88 | $218.24 | -$23.64 | |
![]() maytopmay | Power Rangersavg 57.2¢ | $403.33 | $387.58 | -$15.75 | 59% 340-232 (572) |
PO PourpelNourpel | Power Rangersavg 53.3¢ | $308.74 | $275.33 | -$33.42 | 51% 714-676 (1390) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighARB<$100 | Ka4kanarskie cyxarikiavg 45.5¢ | $226.31 | $232.59 | +$6.28 | 47% 2303-2604 (4907) |
| └ Ka4kanarskie cyxariki leg | Ka4kanarskie cyxarikiavg 45.5¢ | $125.87 | $124.48 | -$1.4 | |
| └ Power Rangers leg | Power Rangersavg 51.1¢ | $100.43 | $108.11 | +$7.67 | |
LR lryyyARB<$100 | Power Rangersavg 46.3¢ | $59.44 | $64.04 | +$4.6 | 48% 40356-43309 (83665) |
| └ Power Rangers leg | Power Rangersavg 46.3¢ | $30.58 | $37.29 | +$6.71 | |
| └ Ka4kanarskie cyxariki leg | Ka4kanarskie cyxarikiavg 46.9¢ | $28.86 | $26.75 | -$2.11 |
Invested
$7,635.44
Value
$8.1K
PnL
+$465.62
Record
55%
854-709 (1563)
Invested
$5,510.23
Value
$5.8K
PnL
+$297.52
Record
50%
587-598 (1185)
Invested
$6,683.17
Value
$5.6K
PnL
-$228.66
Record
—
Invested
$4,104.65
Value
$4.8K
PnL
+$656.05
Record
59%
1043-732 (1775)
Invested
$5,087.32
Value
$4.8K
PnL
-$330.91
Record
64%
137-77 (214)
Invested
$3,865.14
Value
$4.6K
PnL
+$713.65
Record
48%
896-960 (1856)
SkritopoolniyInvested
$4,685.21
Value
$4.5K
PnL
-$208.9
Record
46%
683-807 (1490)
Invested
$1,333.55
Value
$1.3K
PnL
-$64.41
Record
57%
20335-15129 (35464)
Both legs:
Invested
$1,000
Value
$956.92
PnL
-$43.08
Record
67%
644-313 (957)
Invested
$521.53
Value
$534.45
PnL
+$12.92
Record
54%
1348-1159 (2507)
Both legs:
maytopmayInvested
$403.33
Value
$387.58
PnL
-$15.75
Record
59%
340-232 (572)
Invested
$308.74
Value
$275.33
PnL
-$33.42
Record
51%
714-676 (1390)
Invested
$226.31
Value
$232.59
PnL
+$6.28
Record
47%
2303-2604 (4907)
Both legs:
Invested
$59.44
Value
$64.04
PnL
+$4.6
Record
48%
40356-43309 (83665)
Both legs:
Chat
EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
56.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
Sisyphus-
Power Rangers — $8.1K
0xffAaEFb5f6762Cc70cb575Da8722E8C895E38cEe-1767374935341
CTRKa4kanarskie cyxariki — $5.8K
jelly2026
CTRKa4kanarskie cyxariki — $5.6K
0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592
Power Rangers — $4.8K
UNIVERSEMVP
CTRKa4kanarskie cyxariki — $4.8K
RandomVibecoder
Power Rangers — $4.6K

Skritopoolniy
Power Rangers — $4.5K
BillBenter2026
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xbFAB152aFA43741b41BE0f355F862be2630cf067-1779364275266
Power Rangers — $956.92
TommyLeePeeca
ARBArbitrage — excluded