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Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Ka4kanarskie cyxariki - Game 2 Winner

7 of 10 top Polymarket traders hold Power Rangers (70%) · Power Rangers at 56¢ · $42K held · ends Nov 9

Power Rangers56¢Ka4kanarskie cyxariki44¢Ends Mon, Nov 9, 2026View on Polymarket
SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Power Rangers

Consensus Traders

10

Power Rangers 70%

4 arb excluded

Total Value

$41.8K

Combined PnL

$1.3K

Smart Money Entry

49.3¢ → 56.5¢

+15% since entry · 7 traders

Research grade

NeutralPower Rangers at 56%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

  • Side priced 50–60¢Full year, out of sample: 0.50–0.70 lost −2.9 % a trade (n 23,546, 95 % CI −3.9 to −1.9).

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Power Rangers

7 of 10 top traders (70%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Power Rangers56%
Ka4kanarskie cyxariki44%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Power Rangers7 traders
Total Value$23.5K
Total Shares44,674
Combined PnL+$1.5K
Ka4kanarskie cyxariki3 traders
Total Value$16.2K
Total Shares31,425
Combined PnL-$262.06
Power Rangers — 70%Ka4kanarskie cyxariki — 30%
SI
Sisyphus-
Power Rangers

Invested

$7,635.44

Value

$8.1K

PnL

+$465.62

Record

55%

854-709 (1563)

0X
0xffAaEFb5f6762Cc70cb575Da8722E8C895E38cEe-1767374935341CTR
Ka4kanarskie cyxariki

Invested

$5,510.23

Value

$5.8K

PnL

+$297.52

Record

50%

587-598 (1185)

JE
jelly2026CTR
Ka4kanarskie cyxariki

Invested

$6,683.17

Value

$5.6K

PnL

-$228.66

Record

—

0X
0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592
Power Rangers

Invested

$4,104.65

Value

$4.8K

PnL

+$656.05

Record

59%

1043-732 (1775)

UN
UNIVERSEMVPCTR
Ka4kanarskie cyxariki

Invested

$5,087.32

Value

$4.8K

PnL

-$330.91

Record

64%

137-77 (214)

RA
RandomVibecoder
Power Rangers

Invested

$3,865.14

Value

$4.6K

PnL

+$713.65

Record

48%

896-960 (1856)

Skritopoolniy
Power Rangers

Invested

$4,685.21

Value

$4.5K

PnL

-$208.9

Record

46%

683-807 (1490)

BI
BillBenter2026ARB<$100
Ka4kanarskie cyxariki

Invested

$1,333.55

Value

$1.3K

PnL

-$64.41

Record

57%

20335-15129 (35464)

Both legs:

Ka4kanarskie cyxariki$688.4549.8¢-$52.73
Power Rangers$645.155¢-$11.68
0X
0xbFAB152aFA43741b41BE0f355F862be2630cf067-1779364275266
Power Rangers

Invested

$1,000

Value

$956.92

PnL

-$43.08

Record

67%

644-313 (957)

TO
TommyLeePeecaARB<$100
Power Rangers

Invested

$521.53

Value

$534.45

PnL

+$12.92

Record

54%

1348-1159 (2507)

Both legs:

Power Rangers$279.6550¢+$36.55
Ka4kanarskie cyxariki$241.8848.2¢-$23.64
maytopmay
Power Rangers

Invested

$403.33

Value

$387.58

PnL

-$15.75

Record

59%

340-232 (572)

PO
PourpelNourpel
Power Rangers

Invested

$308.74

Value

$275.33

PnL

-$33.42

Record

51%

714-676 (1390)

KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghighARB<$100
Ka4kanarskie cyxariki

Invested

$226.31

Value

$232.59

PnL

+$6.28

Record

47%

2303-2604 (4907)

Both legs:

Ka4kanarskie cyxariki$125.8745.5¢-$1.4
Power Rangers$100.4351.1¢+$7.67
LR
lryyyARB<$100
Power Rangers

Invested

$59.44

Value

$64.04

PnL

+$4.6

Record

48%

40356-43309 (83665)

Both legs:

Power Rangers$30.5846.3¢+$6.71
Ka4kanarskie cyxariki$28.8646.9¢-$2.11

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EV Calculator

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Break-even chance58.7%

56.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$70.29
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
170.3

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.

Market Info

Condition ID
0xf3aa8d4d...14307d
Slug
dota2-pr1-cyxari-2026-11-09-game2
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