Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Magic vs. Kings: O/U 209.5
Resolved Under. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
18
Over 78%
$2.5K
$-10.6K
Smart Money Signal
14 of 18 top traders (78%)14 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR | Overavg 60.5¢ | $4.4K | — | $-4.4K | 56% 563-451 (1014) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Overavg 75.4¢ | $3.8K | — | $-3.8K | 50% 1640-1620 (3260) |
 RN1CTR | Overavg 75.8¢ | $1.6K | — | $-1.6K | 57% 3877-2879 (6756) |
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375 | Underavg 35¢ | $560 | $1.4K | +$934 | 53% 234-204 (438) |
65 6512395314597884CTR | Overavg 55.8¢ | $1.6K | — | $-1.6K | 51% 3200-3120 (6320) |
 betdge | Underavg 23.1¢ | $224.7 | $973 | +$748.3 | 46% 27-32 (59) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Overavg 75.7¢ | $444.42 | — | -$444.42 | 48% 1056-1134 (2190) |
PA Pan9X<$100 | Underavg 48.1¢ | $82.46 | $50.97 | -$0.64 | 48% 512-544 (1056) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Underavg 35.8¢ | $11.31 | $31.58 | +$20.27 | 54% 461-396 (857) |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | Overavg 51.7¢ | $74.03 | — | -$74.03 | 48% 203-219 (422) |
JU justaluckydudeCTR | Overavg 48.8¢ | $127.02 | — | -$127.02 | 34% 175-334 (509) |
LI LightParadoxCTR | Overavg 44¢ | $104.77 | — | -$104.77 | 29% 320-793 (1113) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Overavg 48.7¢ | $80.06 | — | -$80.06 | 29% 322-803 (1125) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Overavg 53¢ | $53 | — | -$53 | 53% 5580-4967 (10547) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100 | Overavg 53.5¢ | $23.84 | — | -$23.84 | 53% 1703-1483 (3186) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Overavg 46.5¢ | $17.21 | — | -$17.21 | 30% 326-779 (1105) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Overavg 50¢ | $4 | — | -$4 | 62% 2398-1492 (3890) |
SU SunflowaRebuildYearCTR<$100 | Overavg 41¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 7% 32-416 (448) |
Invested
$4,406.99
Value
—
PnL
$-4.4K
Record
56%
563-451 (1014)
Invested
$3,793.45
Value
—
PnL
$-3.8K
Record
50%
1640-1620 (3260)
RN1CTRInvested
$1,603.39
Value
—
PnL
$-1.6K
Record
57%
3877-2879 (6756)
Invested
$560
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$934
Record
53%
234-204 (438)
Invested
$1,583.22
Value
—
PnL
$-1.6K
Record
51%
3200-3120 (6320)
betdgeInvested
$224.7
Value
$973
PnL
+$748.3
Record
46%
27-32 (59)
Invested
$444.42
Value
—
PnL
-$444.42
Record
48%
1056-1134 (2190)
Invested
$82.46
Value
$50.97
PnL
-$0.64
Record
48%
512-544 (1056)
Invested
$11.31
Value
$31.58
PnL
+$20.27
Record
54%
461-396 (857)
Invested
$74.03
Value
—
PnL
-$74.03
Record
48%
203-219 (422)
Invested
$127.02
Value
—
PnL
-$127.02
Record
34%
175-334 (509)
Invested
$104.77
Value
—
PnL
-$104.77
Record
29%
320-793 (1113)
Invested
$80.06
Value
—
PnL
-$80.06
Record
29%
322-803 (1125)
Invested
$53
Value
—
PnL
-$53
Record
53%
5580-4967 (10547)
Invested
$23.84
Value
—
PnL
-$23.84
Record
53%
1703-1483 (3186)
Invested
$17.21
Value
—
PnL
-$17.21
Record
30%
326-779 (1105)
Invested
$4
Value
—
PnL
-$4
Record
62%
2398-1492 (3890)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
7%
32-416 (448)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
CTROver — $0
Flaznorp
CTROver — $0
RN1
CTROver — $0
0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375
Under — $1.4K
6512395314597884
CTROver — $0
betdge
Under — $973
38791873984189
CTROver — $0
Pan9X
Under — $50.97
ghorrock
Under — $31.58
lryyy
CTROver — $0