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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

Will Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?

Resolved No. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

16

Yes 47%

Total Value

$7.5K

Combined PnL

$-4.5K

Smart Money Signal

Yes

7 of 16 top traders (44%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares25,418
Combined PnL$-6.2K
No9 traders
Total Value$7.5K
Total Shares7,461
Combined PnL+$1.8K
Yes — 44%No — 56%
SI
sinasinnerCTR
Yes

Invested

$4,982.4

Value

—

PnL

$-5.0K

Record

49%

36-38 (74)

AN
AnonymousUsername
No

Invested

$2,922.76

Value

$3.9K

PnL

+$931.89

Record

71%

6986-2793 (9779)

GO
GoalLineGhost
No

Invested

$1,532.58

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$435.15

Record

50%

27338-27264 (54602)

MA
MadridTime
No

Invested

$627.19

Value

$825.25

PnL

+$193.93

Record

52%

847-783 (1630)

SM
SmallFishGamblerCTR
Yes

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$490

Record

46%

21-25 (46)

FL
Flaznorp
No

Invested

$391.97

Value

$596.77

PnL

+$140.64

Record

51%

23440-22208 (45648)

38
38791873984189CTR
Yes

Invested

$376.2

Value

—

PnL

-$376.2

Record

48%

14412-15920 (30332)

P1
P1kasoCTR
Yes

Invested

$230

Value

—

PnL

-$225

Record

63%

763-457 (1220)

fyrskenCTR
Yes

Invested

$115

Value

—

PnL

-$115

Record

49%

311-329 (640)

GH
ghorrock
No

Invested

$99.16

Value

$131.34

PnL

+$32.18

Record

58%

18645-13742 (32387)

DA
darkumbreon88CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$44.5

Value

—

PnL

-$44.5

Record

64%

1850-1027 (2877)

HRTrading<$100
No

Invested

$23.56

Value

$31

PnL

+$7.28

Record

51%

7362-7108 (14470)

AM
ameisgoat11<$100
No

Invested

$22.8

Value

$30

PnL

+$7.05

Record

52%

8478-7730 (16208)

PL
PLACEYOURBETS123<$100
No

Invested

$3.85

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.13

Record

60%

72-49 (121)

SU
suntoriCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$1.97

Value

—

PnL

-$1.97

Record

45%

13709-16632 (30341)

VeryLucky888
No

Invested

$1,288.7

Value

$0.17

PnL

+$22.59

Record

58%

44668-32527 (77195)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x999cfb27...9c8681
Slug
ucl-mnu-rom-2026-11-03-draw

Traders in this Market

SI

sinasinner

CTR

Yes — $0

$-5.0K
AN

AnonymousUsername

No — $3.9K

+$931.89
GO

GoalLineGhost

No — $2.0K

+$435.15
MA

MadridTime

No — $825.25

+$193.93
SM

SmallFishGambler

CTR

Yes — $0

-$490
FL

Flaznorp

No — $596.77

+$140.64
38

38791873984189

CTR

Yes — $0

-$376.2
P1

P1kaso

CTR

Yes — $0

-$225

fyrsken

CTR

Yes — $0

-$115
GH

ghorrock

No — $131.34

+$32.18
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