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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score

Resolved No. 24% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

17

Yes 25%

Total Value

$6.3K

Combined PnL

$856.13

Smart Money Signal

Yes

4 of 17 top traders (24%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No13 traders
Total Value$4.8K
Total Shares4,765
Combined PnL+$2.8K
Yes4 traders
Total Value$1.5K
Total Shares4,045
Combined PnL$-1.9K
No — 76%Yes — 24%
FaroeseNationalist
No

Invested

$799.92

Value

$2.2K

PnL

+$1.4K

Record

50%

546-554 (1100)

FL
FlaznorpCTR
Yes

Invested

$3,010.1

Value

$1.4K

PnL

$-1.6K

Record

51%

25823-24512 (50335)

VeryLucky888
No

Invested

$661.44

Value

$853.11

PnL

+$508.02

Record

58%

46729-33688 (80417)

MA
MadridTime
No

Invested

$229.44

Value

$546.5

PnL

+$317.06

Record

50%

1340-1327 (2667)

LI
Limousin
No

Invested

$138.18

Value

$291.4

PnL

+$153.22

Record

53%

1442-1288 (2730)

VE
Venusian
No

Invested

$117.1

Value

$253.25

PnL

+$136.15

Record

51%

1398-1364 (2762)

SN
SnakeBall
No

Invested

$155.84

Value

$219.28

PnL

+$63.44

Record

51%

37681-36912 (74593)

RN1
No

Invested

$96.7

Value

$163.03

PnL

+$66.33

Record

53%

61400-53704 (115104)

38
38791873984189CTR
Yes

Invested

$739.34

Value

$103.18

PnL

-$268.36

Record

48%

61256-66065 (127321)

CA
Cannae<$100
No

Invested

$29.28

Value

$71.07

PnL

+$41.79

Record

53%

16811-14939 (31750)

LU
LuckyLoo<$100
No

Invested

$21.63

Value

$51.5

PnL

+$29.87

Record

49%

14720-15397 (30117)

SE
sentrio<$100
No

Invested

$22.96

Value

$45.03

PnL

+$22.07

Record

50%

25844-25552 (51396)

0xheavy888<$100
No

Invested

$13.45

Value

$35.4

PnL

+$21.95

Record

56%

7923-6330 (14253)

TO
topdogbigboi<$100
No

Invested

$11.96

Value

$13.37

PnL

+$1.41

Record

47%

11750-13484 (25234)

NO
NordhavenCapCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$1.02

Value

—

PnL

-$1.02

Record

57%

2431-1816 (4247)

NM
NM-P<$100
No

Invested

$1.44

Value

—

PnL

+$2.56

Record

64%

9930-5532 (15462)

PA
Pan9XCTR
Yes

Invested

$118.12

Value

—

PnL

-$35.14

Record

54%

9751-8144 (17895)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x445eb8ed...e54c4f
Slug
uel-lev-olm-2026-11-05-btts

Traders in this Market

FaroeseNationalist

No — $2.2K

+$1.4K
FL

Flaznorp

CTR

Yes — $1.4K

$-1.6K

VeryLucky888

No — $853.11

+$508.02
MA

MadridTime

No — $546.5

+$317.06
LI

Limousin

No — $291.4

+$153.22
VE

Venusian

No — $253.25

+$136.15
SN

SnakeBall

No — $219.28

+$63.44

RN1

No — $163.03

+$66.33
38

38791873984189

CTR

Yes — $103.18

-$268.36
CA

Cannae

No — $71.07

+$41.79
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