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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| -Dominus- | 00gringo00 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (337–145, n=482) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) |
| Consensus PnL | $25K | $3.5M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #998 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 90% (9 of 10 open) | no open consensus position | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Tech −3 pts, n=11 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 482 at avg 69¢, ROI +4% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 16% of 82) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 45% of 62) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 69% of 59) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 97% of 279) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | -Dominus- | 00gringo00 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $950 | — | — | No $202K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $945 | — | — | Yes $85K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $730 | — | — | Yes $34K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $740 | — | — | No $32K |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $360 | — | — | No $117K |