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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| -Dominus- | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (361–153, n=514) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 47% (13854–15338, n=29192) |
| Consensus PnL | $26K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #998 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (9 of 11 open) | 89% (128 of 144 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (4 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Tech −3 pts, n=11 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 482 at avg 69¢, ROI +4% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 16% of 82) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 45% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 69% of 59) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 97% of 279) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | -Dominus- | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $950 | No $202K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $940 | Yes $85K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $730 | Yes $33K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $740 | No $32K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $345 | No $114K | — | — |