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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| -Dominus- | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (337–145, n=482) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 61% (393–247, n=640) |
| Consensus PnL | $25K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #998 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 90% (9 of 10 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (53 of 62 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Tech −3 pts, n=11 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 482 at avg 69¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 16% of 82) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 45% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 69% of 59) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 97% of 279) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | -Dominus- | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $950 | — | No $202K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $945 | — | Yes $85K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $730 | — | Yes $34K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $740 | — | No $32K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $360 | — | No $117K | — |