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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| -Dominus- | sainttroplay | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (343–146, n=489) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $25K | $4.4M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #998 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 90% (9 of 10 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (15 of 21 open) | 74% (72 of 97 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Tech −3 pts, n=11 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 74% of 484 at avg 69¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 16% of 82) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 46% of 61) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 69% of 59) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 98% of 282) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | -Dominus- | sainttroplay | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $950 | — | — | No $184K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $950 | — | — | Yes $77K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $690 | — | — | Yes $37K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $710 | — | — | No $35K |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $308 | — | — | No $102K |