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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 00gringo00 | 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 43% (349–469, n=818) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $34K | $11.0M | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #154 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 58% (52 of 89 open) | 64% (43 of 67 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | Mentions −2 pts, n=57 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 59% of 1724 at avg 59¢, ROI −1% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 39% (won 2% of 680) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 2% (won 44% of 43) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 3% (won 82% of 44) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 56% (won 99% of 957) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 00gringo00 | 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $240 | No $187K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $41 | Yes $88K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $33 | Yes $77K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $31 | Yes $33K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $5.5K | No $42K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $756 | No $747 | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $27 | No $607 | — |