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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616beachboy4ndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market43% (2604–3484, n=6088)no settled market66% (870–454, n=1324)
Consensus PnL—$92K—$4.2M
Tracked as—PM monthly #492—PM monthly #12
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position58% (52 of 89 open)no open consensus position66% (25 of 38 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Weather +2 pts n=147, ROI +2%
  • NBA +8 pts n=16, ROI +8%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—Mentions ±0 pts, n=925NBA −6 pts, n=93NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%37% of 3253 at avg 37¢, ROI −3%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢0%54% (won 3% of 1749)3% (won 17% of 6)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢0%14% (won 43% of 463)30% (won 57% of 63)20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)4% (won 61% of 140)54% (won 51% of 115)24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up0%28% (won 97% of 901)14% (won 86% of 29)43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616beachboy4ndb1
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $13—No $1.5M
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $18—Yes $818K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.1K—No $253
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.6K—Yes $366
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—No $12K—No $2.0M
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.4K—Yes $501K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—No $16K—No $241K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
same side · consensus No
—Yes $33—Yes $12K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $72—No $2.6K
2026 Balance of Power: Other
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $6—Yes $2.1K