Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00RN1Venusian
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (19424–21150, n=40574)43% (1768–2390, n=4158)
Consensus PnL—$14.9M$48K
Tracked as—PM monthly #33 + pinnedPM monthly #301
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position61% (17 of 28 open)69% (20 of 29 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 816 at avg 71¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 100% of 57)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5704)19% (won 100% of 153)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 9204)17% (won 100% of 139)
Entries 70¢ and up—33% (won 100% of 8622)57% (won 100% of 467)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00RN1Venusian
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
—Keisuke Saitoh $13KKeisuke Saitoh $1.4K
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter
same side · consensus Edward Winter
—Edward Winter $33Edward Winter $5.5K
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
—No $22No $40