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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000beachboy4sainttroplayBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)41% (2236–3154, n=5390)68% (43–20, n=63)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$57K$5.8M$4.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #598was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus55% (11 of 20 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position73% (72 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won90% of 1324 at avg 57¢, ROI +18%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 65% of 246)3% (won 17% of 6)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 88% of 259)29% (won 56% of 62)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 94% of 301)54% (won 51% of 115)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 99% of 518)14% (won 86% of 29)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000beachboy4sainttroplayBreakTheBank
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $194——Yes $39K
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $289——Yes $14K
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $5——Yes $1.8K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $36——No $753
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $270——No $407K
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $85——Yes $4.4K
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2——Yes $967