← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 42% (348–475, n=823) | no settled market | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $34K | — | $11.2M | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #162 | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (103 of 173 open) | no open consensus position | 68% (43 of 63 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Mentions −2 pts, n=57 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 1724 at avg 59¢, ROI −1% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 39% (won 2% of 680) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 44% of 43) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 82% of 44) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 99% of 957) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $57 | — | Yes $167K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $18 | — | Yes $20K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $382 | — | No $235K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $5.5K | — | No $55K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $864 | — | No $991 | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $304 | — | No $795 | — |