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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6ejoseph00677keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Record (consensus markets)72% (378–146, n=524)no settled market42% (124–171, n=295)68% (316–146, n=462)
Consensus PnL-$3.6K—$175K-$102K
Tracked asPM monthly #157PM monthly #7PM monthly #36PM monthly #38 + pinned
Sides with the consensus33% (2 of 6 open)no open consensus position74% (29 of 39 open)71% (29 of 41 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +30 pts n=217, ROI +26%
  • NBA +26 pts n=151, ROI −7%
  • NFL +28 pts n=59, ROI +16%
none with 10+ settled
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 663 at avg 75¢, ROI +8%62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 96% of 27)8% (won 0% of 1)6% (won 100% of 9)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 100% of 66)8% (won 0% of 1)42% (won 100% of 63)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 100% of 124)69% (won 67% of 9)40% (won 100% of 61)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up67% (won 100% of 446)15% (won 100% of 2)12% (won 100% of 18)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6ejoseph00677keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Knoxville: Aidan Mayo vs Michael Mmoh
opposite sides · consensus Michael Mmoh
——Michael Mmoh $13KAidan Mayo $194
Sopo: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Valentina Mediorreal
opposite sides · consensus Maria Lourdes Carle
——Valentina Mediorreal $508Maria Lourdes Carle $3.1K
W50 Chihuahua: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Miriana Tona
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Tikhonova
——Anastasia Tikhonova $531Miriana Tona $306
Lima: Marco Cecchinato vs Francisco Comesana
same side · consensus Marco Cecchinato
——Marco Cecchinato $89KMarco Cecchinato $45K
WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Jessica Pegula
——Jessica Pegula $48KJessica Pegula $52K
Sopo: Laura Samson vs Carolina M. Alves
same side · consensus Carolina M. Alves
——Carolina M. Alves $1.9KCarolina M. Alves $176
Knoxville: Ozan Baris vs Oliver Tarvet
same side · consensus Oliver Tarvet
——Oliver Tarvet $1.4KOliver Tarvet $274