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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Bet1nthedark | HomeRunHazard | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (67–71, n=138) | no settled market | 55% (201–167, n=368) | 66% (484–245, n=729) |
| Consensus PnL | -$415K | $1.2K | $227K | -$157K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #824 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #46 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (9 of 14 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 68% (80 of 117 open) | 70% (16 of 23 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 1 at avg 94¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 6% (won 100% of 12) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 13% (won 100% of 26) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 0% | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 30% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 100% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 51% (won 100% of 106) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Bet1nthedark | HomeRunHazard | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic vs. Jazz opposite sides · consensus Magic | Jazz $3.5K | — | Magic $6.3K | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud | Casper Ruud $8 | — | — | Alexander Shevchenko $4.9K |
| Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. UC Davis Aggies opposite sides · consensus UC Davis Aggies | — | — | UC Davis Aggies $392 | Incarnate Word Cardinals $21 |
| Orleans: Zsombor Piros vs Clement Tabur same side · consensus Zsombor Piros | Zsombor Piros $19K | — | — | Zsombor Piros $64K |
| Sopo: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Julia Grabher same side · consensus Irene Burillo Escorihuela | Irene Burillo Escorihuela $10K | — | — | Irene Burillo Escorihuela $1.4K |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $90 | — | Vikings $5.7K | — |
| Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green | Dartmouth Big Green $3.0K | — | — | Dartmouth Big Green $803 |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers same side · consensus Thunder | Thunder $192 | — | Thunder $2.5K | — |
| Spread: UC Davis Aggies (-11.5) same side · consensus Incarnate Word Cardinals | — | — | UC Davis Aggies $71 | UC Davis Aggies $53 |
| Spread: Dartmouth Big Green (-2.5) same side · consensus Albany Great Danes | — | — | Dartmouth Big Green $8 | Dartmouth Big Green $6 |